Stochastic Dominance and Cumulative Prospect Theory
Manel Baucells, Franz H. Heukamp
Management Science
- 주제다속성 효용 평가 · 의사결정분석
We generalize and extend the second-order stochastic dominance condition for expected utility to cumulative prospect theory. The new definitions include preferences represented by S-shaped value functions, inverse S-shaped probability weighting functions, and loss aversion. The stochastic dominance conditions supply a framework to test different features of cumulative prospect theory. In the experimental part of the paper, we offer a test of several joint hypotheses on the value function and the probability weighting function. Assuming empirically relevant weighting functions, we can reject the inverse S-shaped value function recently advocated by Levy and Levy (2002) in favor of the S-shaped form. In addition, we find generally supporting evidence for loss aversion. Violations of loss aversion can be explained by subjects using the overall probability of winning as a heuristic.
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- 저널Management Science · 52(9) · 1409–1423
- 토픽Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics · General Decision Sciences
- DOI10.1287/mnsc.1060.0537
- 저자Manel Baucells, Franz H. Heukamp