A Model for Predicting Frequencies of Random Events

This paper presents a new technique for forecasting frequencies of events over time for individuals. The technique bases future occurrences on an estimation procedure based on historical data. The estimation procedure incorporates two types of uncertainty: population variation and individual propensity to change. An example is presented.

• 저널Management Science · 33(8) · 947–954
• 토픽Anomaly Detection Techniques and Applications · Artificial Intelligence
• DOI10.1287/mnsc.33.8.947
• 저자Donald B. Rosenfield