An Axiomatic Approach to Expert Resolution

This paper proposes a set of axioms for combining expert probability assessments. The axioms provide a framework for understanding previous results, and are used to derive a new method for combining event probabilities from different sources into a single estimate.

• 저널Management Science · 29(1) · 24–32
• 토픽Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence · Statistical and Nonlinear Physics
• DOI10.1287/mnsc.29.1.24
• 저자Peter A. Morris