IS Atlas
Weekly digest·2026

9월 4주차

47
새 논문
17
IS 탑저널
30
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0
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01IS 저널 17편
isr 7/13
Generative AI and Price Discrimination in the Housing Market

미국 주택 284,749채 자료에서 생성형 인공지능과 사람이 산정한 가격을 비교했다. 생성형 인공지능의 가격 산정은 백인 다수 지역과 소수인종 다수 지역 간 가격 차별을 완화한다. 차별 완화를 낳는 작동 원리를 실증하고 실무와 정책 수립에 시사점을 제시한다.

Abstract

Housing discrimination has been recognized as an important societal issue for decades. While this issue can manifest in multiple ways, one of the most observed avenues is price discrimination, where houses in white-dominant neighborhoods are worth more than houses in minority-dominant neighborhoods that are otherwise similar. Prior studies have empirically documented such pricing discrimination and attributed it to human biases. In addition, recent studies have shown that issues of this kind are unlikely to be addressed by traditional AI models, even those specifically designed to address discrimination. In this paper, we first compare AI-generated versus human-generated housing prices using a sample of 284,749 U.S. properties. We then study the impact of generative AI in the context of price discrimination in the housing market and find that it can help alleviate this issue. Our mechanism exploration provides empirical evidence regarding underlying mechanisms that drive such a counter-intuitive result. Practical and policy implications are also discussed.

isr 7/20
Mitigating Privacy Tension: The Role of Active Privacy Transparency in Privacy Granting, Trust Decline, and Negative Word-of-Mouth

행동실험을 통해 이용자가 권한을 결정할 때 특정 개인정보 처리 관행을 알리는 방식을 연구했다. 이 사전 고지는 이후 기업의 개인정보 관련 부정적 소식에도 신뢰 하락과 부정적 구전을 줄였다. 기업은 이를 사후 대응이 아닌 예방적 관리로 활용하고, 정책은 정보의 내용과 전달 방식을 구체화해야 한다.

Abstract

Privacy-related news can embroil firms in public controversy, eroding user trust and triggering negative word-of-mouth. We examine whether firms can mitigate downstream damage before a crisis unfolds through the new approach we propose—active privacy transparency. Unlike conventional practices that leave information about firms’ data practices buried in lengthy privacy policies, active privacy transparency proactively presents precise information about a specific data practice when users make the corresponding permission decision, enabling a genuinely informed choice. Across behavioral experiments, we find that this preventive approach mitigates trust decline and negative word-of-mouth when users later encounter negative third-party news about the firm’s privacy practices. Importantly, these downstream benefits do not necessarily come at the immediate cost of lower permission granting. Rather, the immediate effect depends on users’ privacy knowledge, and more knowledgeable users may even become more willing to grant permissions. For managers, these findings position active privacy transparency as a preventive privacy-management approach rather than a postincident remedy. For policymakers, these findings call for moving beyond broad transparency mandates toward clearer guidance on what information should be provided and when, where, and how it should be communicated, while supporting initiatives that strengthen users’ privacy knowledge.

isr 7/20
Do Nonmonetary Virtual Gifts Enhance or Diminish Voluntary Paid Gifts? Evidence from a Video Game Live-Streaming Platform

주요 비디오게임 생방송 플랫폼의 정책 변화 자료로 무료 가상 선물과 유료 선물을 분석한다. 무료 선물은 최저가 유료 선물의 돋보임을 약화해 고가 선물 구매와 주당 지출을 약 2.42달러 늘렸다. 실시간 공개성과 뚜렷한 유료 등급이 있으면 참여 보상은 방송인 수입을 잠식하지 않고 늘릴 수 있다.

Abstract

Platforms are increasingly deploying engagement rewards, granting users redeemable benefits for everyday activity such as logging in, commenting, and sharing content. Platform managers nevertheless hesitate, because a reward that increases viewer engagement may have unintended consequences for creator earnings, and managers rarely know in advance where it will bite. We study one such setting, video-game live-streaming, where viewers can convert engagement-earned coins into free virtual gifts that enter the same voluntary paid gifting channel that streamers rely on for income. A free sticker gives the same on-screen recognition as the cheapest 10-cent paid sticker, so viewers no longer need to pay to be seen appreciating the streamer. Intuition says free gifts could cannibalize paid ones. We find the opposite: access to free gifts increased paid gift spending by roughly $2.42 per viewer-streamer relationship per week. The reason is that free rewards dilute the signaling value of the cheapest paid gift, and committed viewers upgrade to costlier gifts to stand out. Free rewards complement monetization when gifting is publicly visible in real time and paid tiers remain clearly differentiated from free options. For policymakers, the question is what this does to creator income. Engagement rewards subsidize one side of a two-sided market, and the effect on the other side is rarely documented. Voluntary gifts from viewers are creators’ primary income, so a token program that hands viewers free versions of these gifts could erode it. Our evidence comes from an exogenous policy change on a major platform, and creators' paid gift income rose rather than fell. Free gifts also converted previously non-paying viewers into paying supporters, and the gains held across streamer popularity tiers, so the policy did not concentrate benefits among already-popular creators. Token programs designed this way need not trade off engagement growth against creator compensation.

isr 7/20
A Mechanism-Based Process Model of Postadoption Usage Dynamics: Evidence from Feature-Level Usage in Mobile Banking

모바일 뱅킹의 기능별 장기 이용 자료, 설문, 질적 자료로 채택 후 이용 변화를 분석한다. 기능 이용은 평가로 시작해 습관으로 안정되고 필요 변화로 재평가되며, 다섯 경로가 성과와 관련된다. 조직은 이용 빈도만 높이지 말고 이용 경로별 개입으로 장기 참여와 가치 창출을 지원해야 한다.

Abstract

Organizations invest heavily in digital platforms, yet sustaining user engagement after initial adoption remains a persistent challenge. In feature-rich services, such as mobile banking, customers’ usage evolves as they gain experience, develop routines, and encounter changing needs. However, existing research largely treats postadoption information systems (IS) usage as a stable outcome, offering limited insight into how usage evolves over time. Drawing on longitudinal mobile banking usage data, surveys, and qualitative evidence, this study develops and validates a mechanism-based process model of postadoption feature usage dynamics. We show that feature-level usage evolves through three dominant mechanisms: evaluation-driven entry, habit-driven stabilization, and need-driven disruption and re-evaluation. To capture these dynamics, we frame IS usage as comprising usage intensity (frequency and depth) and usage length, and we identify five distinct longitudinal usage trajectories (e.g., expanders and maximizers). We demonstrate that these trajectories are associated with important organizational outcomes, including new feature adoption, monetization willingness, loyalty, and security compliance. Thus, organizations should move beyond simply increasing usage frequency and instead, recognize that users follow different developmental paths requiring different engagement strategies. This work provides managers with a framework for identifying users’ usage trajectories and designing targeted interventions that better support long-term customer engagement and value creation.

isr 7/20
p -Hacking and Publication Bias in Design-Based Causal Studies in Information Systems

정보시스템 주요 학술지 7곳의 2000년부터 2023년까지 논문 558편에서 인과분석 검정 7,516건을 분석한다. 차이의 차이, 도구변수, 무작위 대조 실험에서 5% 유의수준 바로 위 결과가 몰려 출판 유인이 증거를 왜곡함을 시사한다. 투명한 보고와 자료·코드 공개, 효과 없음 결과 수용, 조건을 바꾼 재검토와 신뢰도 평가가 필요하다.

Abstract

Design-based causal methods such as difference in differences, instrumental variables, randomized controlled trials, regression discontinuity, and synthetic control have become the foundation of evidence-based decision making in information systems (IS). Their value, however, depends on the credibility of the published evidence. Analyzing 7,516 hypothesis tests from 558 articles published in seven leading IS journals between 2000 and 2023, we identify systematic clustering of statistical results immediately above the conventional 5% significance threshold, particularly for difference in differences, instrumental variables, and randomized controlled trials. These patterns suggest that publication incentives and researcher degrees of freedom may distort the evidence base used by managers and policymakers. We translate these findings into practical recommendations for researchers, reviewers, and editors. Specifically, we advocate greater transparency in research design and reporting, stronger requirements for data and code availability, broader acceptance of well-executed null findings, routine sensitivity analyses, and method-specific reporting standards for causal studies. We also introduce an IS-calibrated local false discovery rate that helps readers assess the credibility of reported causal estimates. By strengthening evidence quality rather than discouraging causal research, these recommendations aim to improve the reliability, reproducibility, and policy relevance of empirical findings that increasingly guide organizational investment, digital transformation, platform governance, and public policy decisions.

isr 9/18
Unlocking Profits in Generative AI: The Impact of AI Adaptive Learning on Freemium Strategy

공개자료로 기본 능력을 익힌 뒤 이용자 상호작용으로 개선되는 생성형 인공지능의 기업 무료·유료 전략을 분석모형으로 연구한다. 무료판은 이용자와 학습자료를 늘리지만 유료 수요 잠식과 서비스 비용을 키워, 학습효과가 클수록 수익성을 낮출 수 있다. 따라서 무료판보다 유료 가격 인하가 나을 수 있고, 기능 격차 축소는 수익성을 높여도 소비자 편익 증가는 보장하지 않는다.

Abstract

While conventional software is programmed for specific tasks, AI learns and refines its capabilities through a two-stage process: pre-training and fine-tuning. A central feature of this process is the AI adaptive learning embedded in the fine-tuning stage, whereby user interactions refine the AI’s capabilities initially developed from publicly available data during pre-training. This feature reshapes the firm’s freemium decision. We develop an analytical model to examine how AI adaptive learning affects firms’ optimal freemium strategies and find that while a free version can expand the user base and generate learning data, it also intensifies cannibalization of demand and increases the service-cost burden. We demonstrate that highly effective adaptive learning can paradoxically harm profitability by excessively enhancing the free version’s appeal and sharply cannibalizing premium demand. We find further that firms may optimally avoid offering a free version even when service costs are minimal, relying instead on reductions to the price of premium service to expand the paid user base. Narrowing the base capability gap between versions can also increase profitability by strengthening adaptive learning despite the increased cannibalization. Finally, results show that introducing a free version does not necessarily increase consumer surplus, because improved AI capabilities may allow firms to raise premium prices. These results are robust across several model extensions and inform both firms’ monetization strategies and policy discussions of consumer welfare in generative AI markets.

jmis 7/3
Artificial Normality: How Conversational Agents’ Perceived Humanness Inhibits Error Attribution and Preserves Satisfaction

대화형 에이전트의 인간다움 인식이 오류 상황에서 이용자 반응에 미치는 영향을 두 실험으로 검증했다. 인간다움 인식이 높을수록 오류가 상황상 흔한 일로 느껴져 원인 찾기가 줄고 서비스 만족도 하락도 완화됐다. 따라서 오류가 잦은 대규모 언어모델 기반 에이전트에는 인간다운 설계가 특히 중요하고, 견고한 규칙 기반 에이전트에는 덜 중요하다.

Abstract

We theorize that designing conversational agents (CAs) to appear more humanlike will make minor errors appear more normal because to err is human. When errors appear more normal, users are less likely to strive to identify their cause (a process called attribution) and thus are less likely to respond negatively. We conducted two experiments to test our theoretical model, and the results generally support our theorizing: greater perceived humanness preserves the perception of situational normality when an error occurs, thereby reducing error attribution and mitigating the negative effects of errors on service satisfaction. Our research contributes to the theory by identifying a theoretical mechanism that underlies users’ responses to errors (a reduction in situational normality triggers error attribution). It also has important implications for practice by showing that designing CAs to be more humanlike is important for CAs more likely to make errors (e.g. CAs controlled by large language models) and less important for other CAs (e.g. those controlled by robust rule-based scripts).

jmis 7/3
The Theory of Privacy Interests: An Onto-Epistemological Perspective on Privacy Actions

디지털 환경에서 개인정보 보호 관심과 우려를 3회 척도개발과 4회 설문, 3,922명으로 검증한다. 개인정보 보호 관심은 적극적 보호 행동을, 개인정보 우려는 위협에 대한 반응적 행동을 더 잘 설명한다. 위험 평가만으로는 부족한 개인정보 행동을 지속적 보호 참여로 보완해 개인정보 역설 연구를 확장한다.

Abstract

Prevailing information privacy theories have advanced understanding of how users evaluate privacy risks. Yet, they leave important aspects of user behavior insufficiently explained, particularly why some consumers proactively protect their personal information, whereas others remain passive despite expressing similar privacy concerns. Much of this research relies on privacy concerns as the primary indicator of privacy attitudes. Privacy concerns are crucial, but they largely capture users’ risk-focused evaluations of data collection, use, and disclosure. They therefore explain how users react to perceived privacy threats better than how users develop sustained engagement in protecting their privacy. We propose and test the Theory of Privacy Interests to explain this consumer-side engagement. By privacy interests, we mean users’ experiential engagement with protecting their personal information—the extent to which privacy protection is meaningful to them, they feel competent to pursue it, and they believe their actions can influence privacy outcomes. This construct refers to users’ privacy-protective interests, not to the economic or strategic interests of firms, platforms, or other producers that supply privacy-adjacent digital environments. Drawing on the Heideggerian onto-epistemological framework, we conceptualize privacy interests as experience-based, skillful engagement with privacy protection that develops through users’ repeated interactions with digital environments, privacy risks, and privacy-protective practices. We empirically examine privacy interests and privacy concerns as distinct but complementary constructs. Across three scale-development data collections and four survey studies with 3,922 participants, we find that privacy interests are more effective in explaining proactive privacy actions. In contrast, privacy concerns are more effective in explaining reactive privacy actions. This research operationalizes the Heideggerian onto-epistemological framework to shift attention from users’ risk evaluation to users’ sustained engagement in actualizing privacy protection. Our research offers a complementary explanation for variation in consumer privacy behavior and advances research on privacy attitudes, privacy actions, and the privacy paradox.

jmis 7/3
How Reflection Enhances Task Factuality in the Use of Large Language Models

사람 280명이 대규모 언어 모델과 협업해 특정 주제의 짧은 글을 쓰는 무작위 실험을 했다. 반박형과 대화형 상호작용은 글의 사실성에 서로 다르게 영향을 주며, 세 가지 사고 방식을 거쳐 효과가 나타났다. 사용자와 조직은 성찰을 촉진하고, 개발사는 사실성을 높이는 기능을 설계해야 한다.

Abstract

This paper examines the use of large language models (LLMs) for human-LLM co-creation, wherein humans use LLMs to accomplish text-based tasks requiring knowledge and understanding of a topic. Task factuality, the correspondence of the human-LLM co-creation task output to reality and verifiable facts, is an important outcome of such tasks, yet is difficult to achieve. We investigate how the human’s reflection enhances task factuality in such tasks. Theorizing two aspects of reflection, namely, the human’s cognitive state and the interaction mode with the LLM, we develop hypotheses explaining how: (1) two types of interaction modes (adversarial and conversational) differentially enhance task factuality; and (2) three types of cognitive states (shallow, dialogic and critical) mediate the differential effect of interaction mode on task factuality. We test our hypotheses through a randomized experiment on a task in which participants wrote a short essay on a specific topic by working with an LLM. Integrating data from experimental manipulations (interaction mode), survey measures (cognitive state) and objective assessment (task factuality and cognitive state) drawn from 280 LLM users, the paper makes theoretical contributions by: explaining how reflection can enhance epistemic integration between humans and LLMs by increasing task factuality in human-LLM co-creation tasks, theoretically unpacking the concept of reflection in the context of human-LLM co-creation, and providing insights for LLM design that can lead to higher factuality of such tasks. Practical implications for LLM users are to engage in reflection when working with LLMs to generate more factual outputs, for organizations to develop employee capacity for reflection, and for LLM companies to design features that foster reflection for users.

jmis 7/3
Success of New Ideas in Online Platforms: An Idea Network Perspective

온라인 아이디어 발상 플랫폼 자료로, 기존 아이디어를 결합한 새 아이디어의 성공 요인을 의미 기반 연결망에서 분석한다. 연결망에 깊이 속하거나 영역 간 연결을 이루면 성공이 높아지며, 내용 다양성은 직접 영향 없이 전자는 약화하고 후자는 강화한다. 대중 참여는 연결망 위치와 내용 다양성을 높이고, 제안자 전문성은 위치를 높이지만 다양성을 낮춰 성공 형성 방식을 다르게 한다.

Abstract

On online platforms, new ideas often emerge by recombining existing ones within idea networks. Unlike traditional knowledge networks, idea networks represent curated, meaning-based associations among ideas, offering a distinct lens on recombination. Drawing upon a hypergraph perspective, we investigate how new idea success depends on their structural and content attributes, and how collaborative participation shapes these attributes. Using data from an ideation platform, we find that both structural embeddedness and bridging benefit new idea success. Content diversity has no direct effect, but it amplifies the benefits of bridging while constraining those of embeddedness. Both crowd contributions and ideator expertise strengthen ideas’ structural positions, whereas they shape content diversity in opposite ways: crowd contributions increase diversity, while ideator expertise reduces it through selective integration. These findings advance research on networks, recombination, and online collaboration by showing how structure, content, and collaborative participation jointly shape new idea success.

jmis 7/3
Review First or Rate First: How the Review Process and Device Choice Shape Online Reviewing Behavior

온라인 리뷰 플랫폼에서 평점과 글 작성 순서 및 기기를 네 차례 무작위 실험(참여자 1,101명)으로 비교했다. 글을 먼저 쓰게 하면 글을 더 신중히 생각하고 상품·서비스에 대한 망설임은 줄며 평점의 결단력과 확신은 높아졌고, 기기에 따라 효과가 달랐다. 플랫폼은 작성 순서를 설계해 더 숙고한 글과 확신 있는 평점을 이끌고, 기기별 리뷰 차이도 고려해야 한다.

Abstract

The quality of online review content is a central factor in its perceived helpfulness to consumers. Yet platforms’ efforts to enhance the quality of online reviews through extrinsic incentives have shown mixed results. In this paper, we address this issue by showing that a subtle change in the design of the review generation process can improve review quality. Via four randomized controlled experiments (n = 1,101), we specifically examine whether the task order in which platforms solicit numerical ratings and textual reviews can shape reviewers’ reasoning processes and, in turn, the deliberativeness of textual reviews and the characteristics of subsequent numerical ratings. Results show that changing the task order in the online review generation process, from the current “rating first” to a “review first” task order, enhances reviewers’ deliberation in their textual reviews, reduces their ambivalence toward the product/service, and improves their decisiveness and confidence in numerical ratings. Moreover, we show that these effects are contingent on the device (PC vs. mobile) used to generate textual reviews, as a situational boundary condition. In response to calls for research on the design of review systems, these findings offer actionable insights for online review platforms by presenting novel ways to elicit more deliberative textual reviews and more decisive, confident numerical ratings. They also clarify the important distinction between PC reviews and mobile reviews.

jmis 7/3
Mind and the Machine: How Does Generative Artificial Intelligence Usage Affect the Coding Performance of Developers?

생성형 인공지능 사용이 개발자 코딩 성과에 미치는 영향을 27주 이상 기업 자료와 실험으로 연구한다. 사용 방식에 따라 코딩 양과 질이 달라지며, 발상과 디버깅에서 불필요한 인지 부담을 줄여 적은 노력으로도 품질을 높인다. 따라서 효과적인 사용 방식과 생성형 인공지능의 이점이 실현되는 조건을 제시한다.

Abstract

Generative AI (GenAI) has advanced rapidly and made significant impacts. However, its effect on developers remains a topic of industry debate. Companies want to know whether GenAI can enhance developers’ coding performance, as an unclear understanding may put companies at a disadvantage. While the literature has begun addressing this issue, a formal understanding of GenAI’s impact remains incomplete. Moreover, existing findings are often short-term, fragmented, or lack explanatory mechanisms. To fill these gaps, we designed a multimethod research program comprising a longitudinal field study and a randomized controlled experiment. In Study 1, we collaborated with a global information technology organization and applied a difference-in-differences approach to over 27 weeks of proprietary data. In Study 2, we designed a randomized experiment involving 253 software developers. From these studies, we find that GenAI usage affects both developers’ coding quantity and quality. These effects, however, depend critically on how the tool is used. While reduced cognitive effort can be associated with diminished quality, interestingly, GenAI usage enables developers to produce higher-quality code with less cognitive effort. In this current study, we explain the paradoxical findings through cognitive load theory, showing that GenAI reduces extraneous load while preserving germane processing during ideation and debugging. Using a multimethod research design that integrates longitudinal field data with a randomized controlled experiment, we link observed performance effects to underlying cognitive mechanisms and usage strategies. We also offer guidance on effective usage styles and propose boundary conditions for realizing GenAI’s benefits in practice.

jmis 7/3
Competitive Value of Product Security for Platform Complementors

하둡 생태계의 스타트업 플랫폼 보완자에 대한 종단 자료로 제품 보안과 외부 투자의 관계를 분석한다. 제품 보안 기능 출시는 투자금 증가와 연관되며, 언론 관심과 기술적 근접성 네트워크 중심성이 높을수록 효과가 강하다. 제품에 내장된 보안은 상호의존적 위험과 네트워크 경쟁에서 경쟁우위를 알리는 신호로 작동한다.

Abstract

This research examines how startup complementors’ product security influences their funding from external investors in platform ecosystems. The longitudinal analysis of the Hadoop ecosystem shows that the release of product security features is positively associated with startup funding. The effect is stronger when public media pays more attention to the platform ecosystem’s security issues and for complementors with a central position in the platform ecosystem’s technological proximity network. We further find that the effect depends on the strength and interpretability of the product security signals. Specifically, the effect is driven by product-embedded security efforts rather than by partnership-based initiatives, and is more pronounced among platform-native complementors. These findings advance our understanding of how product security functions as a strategic signal in ecosystems characterized by interdependent risks and networked competition. We offer practical implications for complementors and platforms seeking to translate security investments into competitive advantage and strengthen security incentives.

jmis 7/3
Protecting the Linked Artificial Intelligence Repositories on Open Source Software Platforms: A Graph Self-Supervised Learning Approach

인공지능 오픈소스 소프트웨어 플랫폼의 기계학습 저장소 연결망 자료로 취약점 전파를 예측했다. 제안 방법은 공유 인공지능 용어와 연결망 구조를 학습해 기존 그래프 임베딩보다 성능이 높았고, 곡선 아래 면적 94.8퍼센트와 평균 정밀도 96.1퍼센트를 기록했다. 따라서 저장소 간 광범위한 취약점 확산을 다루고 경영정보와 의료 분야의 기술 설계에도 원칙을 제공한다.

Abstract

Artificial intelligence (AI) developers have leveraged open source software (OSS) to accelerate AI’s progress. However, this has introduced security issues, including newly developed machine learning open-source software (MLOSS) repositories inheriting vulnerabilities from each other, typically lacking any explicit signal. In this study, we adopted the computational design science paradigm to design a novel MLOSS Link Prediction framework to map the spread of vulnerabilities across AI. We propose a Self-Supervised AI-Feature Aware Graph Attention Autoencoder (SSAIF-GATE) to learn from a sparsely labeled network, a novel AI-Feature Aware attention mechanism that captures shared AI terms, and a multilevel pretext task to leverage multiple components of a network’s structure. SSAIF-GATE outperforms prevailing graph embedding methods with an area-under-the-curve of 94.8 percent and an average precision of 96.1 percent. SSAIF-GATE helps address extensive vulnerability spread among MLOSS and contributes design principles that can inform future information technology artifact design for broader domains including business intelligence and healthcare.

jmis 7/3
Computational Framework for Measuring Strategic Opportunities Based on Structural Hole Theory

관계망의 빈틈 이론과 텍스트·비지도 학습·네트워크 분석으로 미국 상장기업 패널의 기업공개 결과를 분석한다. 빈틈을 여는 위치는 기업공개 후 평가액이 높고 인수합병 종료 가능성은 낮으며, 나머지는 반대이다. 기업의 관계망 위치에 따라 기회 역할이 달라지며, 반복 가능한 기회 측정 기반을 제공한다.

Abstract

Although opportunities are central to firm innovation and performance, prior research lacks a scalable, theory-grounded approach to measuring them. Existing measures are either context-specific or detached from explicit relational mechanisms, limiting their generalizability and interpretability. Leveraging computational methods including text analytics, unsupervised machine learning, and network analysis of large-scale digitized data, we propose a computational design framework guided by structural hole theory that enables fine-grained strategic opportunity measures: hole-opening, hole-entering, and non-hole positions. We validate this framework through systematic analysis of initial public offering (IPO) outcomes using U.S. public firm panel data. The results show that hole-opening positions are associated with higher post-IPO valuations, but with a lower likelihood of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) exits, whereas hole-entering and non-hole positions are linked to lower IPO valuations but higher probabilities of M&A outcomes. These patterns reveal distinct opportunity roles based on firms’ relative structural positions. This computational framework contributes to IS research by offering a replicable, theory-driven foundation for opportunity measurement.

ms 9/16
Sequential Search Transformer: A Deep Structural Econometric Model

순차 탐색 이론과 딥러닝을 결합한 모형을 미국 전자상거래 웹사이트의 상세 클릭흐름 자료에 적용한다. 모든 모수가 식별되며, 이 모형은 기존 딥러닝 및 구조 모형보다 검색과 구매를 더 정확히 예측한다. 정책 실험은 상품 추천과 신제품 홍보 최적화가 소비자 경험과 수익 증대로 이어짐을 보인다.

Abstract

Modeling and leveraging consumers’ dynamic search behaviors presents significant business opportunities. Although deep learning methods excel at processing vast consumer data for predictive tasks, their opaque nature limits interpretability and fails to explicitly model consumer decision making. In contrast, economic theory suggests that consumers follow a sequential search strategy, evaluating alternatives until they find the best match for their preferences. To bridge this gap, we propose the sequential search transformer (SST), a deep structural econometric model that integrates deep learning with sequential search theory to model search and purchase decisions. SST unifies these two approaches into an end-to-end trainable model, improving both predictive accuracy and policy evaluation capabilities. Unlike conventional deep learning models, SST explicitly models consumer decision making, and unlike existing sequential search models, it enables consumer behavior modeling across sessions and sequentially resolves utility uncertainty for searched items. We provide a theoretical analysis of the identification strategy for the SST model and show that all parameters can be identified under the proposed framework. Then, we apply SST to a data set with detailed clickstream data collected from a U.S. e-commerce website. Empirical evaluations show that SST outperforms state-of-the-art deep learning and structural models in predicting consumer searches and purchases. Moreover, policy experiments demonstrate SST’s effectiveness in optimizing product recommendations and new product promotion strategies, ultimately enhancing consumers experience and driving revenue growth. This paper was accepted by Hemant Bhargava, information systems. Supplemental Material: The online appendices and data files are available at https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2024.04540 .

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